Prediction of Kamilla Rakhimova vs Alina Korneeva at Open In Arte Angers Loire - Angers 12-01-25

• Alina Korneeva's second serve win rate is 38.99%, slightly trailing Kamilla Rakhimova's 40.25%. Could this be a pivotal factor in the upcoming match?
• Both players display strong return game stats: Korneeva edges ahead on first serve returns with 31.98% compared to Rakhimova's 30.67%, but lags slightly behind on second serve returns at 52.19% against Rakhimova's 52.71%.
• Under pressure, Rakhimova saves 47.81% of breakpoints, marginally outperforming Korneeva's 46.50%—a vital stat for match-turning moments.
• Over the past year, Korneeva's match-winning rate stands at an impressive 68.18%, surpassing Rakhimova's 45.00%, indicating a stronger overall performance.
• Korneeva and Rakhimova both excel on Hard and I.hard surfaces, winning 78% of their respective matches.
• Korneeva primarily competes in Challengers/ITF tournaments, boasting a 75.68% win rate, while Rakhimova has a 46.15% win rate on the Main tour—does this indicate that Korneeva faces less challenging opponents?
• Rakhimova contends against higher-ranked opponents (avg. rank 126.18) compared to Korneeva (avg. rank 271.95), which may impact Korneeva's head-to-head performance.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Korneeva has a slight edge with a 50% win rate compared to Rakhimova's 45% in the past 12 months.
• Current event stats should be considered to identify any player who is in better form during this tournament.

Editorial Prediction (November 30, 2025, UTC):

As we look toward the upcoming match between Alina Korneeva and Kamilla Rakhimova, several statistical insights provide a clearer picture of who might have the edge. Rakhimova slightly leads in second serve performance and pressure saving, which could be decisive if the match boils down to key points.

However, Korneeva's advantage in match-winning percentage and first serve returns cannot be ignored, indicating a consistent and reliable performance over the past year. Her success rate in deciding sets also gives her a minor boost in scenarios where resilience is needed.

While the quality of opponents favors Rakhimova, potentially indicating her readiness against highly competitive players, Korneeva's impressive statistics across various metrics and surfaces suggest that she may have what it takes to secure a victory in this particular match-up.

Considering all factors, Alina Korneeva appears to be the slight favorite to win the forthcoming match given her recent form and overall match-winning prowess.